INDIANAPOLIS—As reported in GlobeSt.com throughout much of this year, many REITs have been spinning off retail operations into separate, publically traded REITs, and analysts have begun to revise their estimates of these companies. Simon Property Group, an Indianapolis-based REIT, for example, recently spun off some of its regional mall holdings and shopping centers into a company called Washington Prime Group. And just last week, MLV & Co. LLC released an new set of estimates that includes an updated NAV that reflected a 15 bps cap rate reduction.

The reduction was necessary, MLV researchers said, because Simon had spun off some of its lesser assets into WPG, allowing it to focus more on its higher-quality regional mall portfolio. MLV's new “FFO per share estimates are $9.18 and $9.56 for 2014 and 2015, respectively, and our spin-adjusted NAV per share estimate is $166, pro forma for 2Q14,” according to the report. Furthermore, the researchers said that “our price target of $178 is in-line with our forward 12-month NAV per share estimate, and represents 12% total return upside.”

Simon should also have somewhat stronger core growth, with higher occupancy and releasing spreads, due to the higher quality of its remaining portfolio. The researchers also expect “slightly lower disposition assumptions to reflect the fact that most non-core assets were divested in the spin-off.” Finally, Simon should have higher management fee income due to its agreement with WPG to manage the spin-off properties.

Continue Reading for Free

Register and gain access to:

  • Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.

Brian J. Rogal

Brian J. Rogal is a Chicago-based freelance writer with years of experience as an investigative reporter and editor, most notably at The Chicago Reporter, where he concentrated on housing issues. He also has written extensively on alternative energy and the payments card industry for national trade publications.