NEW YORK CITY—US investors still rule the roost when it comes to domestic property acquisitions, but overseas buyers have the momentum. That's the conclusion to be drawn from reports issued by both Real Capital Analytics and DTZ, which chart cross-border investment's effects on volume and on pricing.
“Overall, the composition of buyers so far in 2014 is remarkably similar to 2013 as all capital sectors are very well capitalized,” according to RCA's latest US Capital Trends report. “In this increasingly competitive marketplace, cross-border investors were the only capital sector to grow their market share as their acquisition totals approach record levels. The growing influence of foreign buyers is being felt across all property types and most markets.”
Year-to-date through August, nationwide volume of investment sales of $5 million or more by all classes of buyers has totaled $245.9 billion, according to RCA. Overseas investors have represented less than 15% of that tally at $33.4 billion, but that figure is already on pace to exceed the $38.8 billion that cross-border buyers brought into US commercial property last year. That 12-month tally already was ahead of the levels of foreign investment seen at the cycle's last peak, RCA said in '13.
On a country-by-country basis, Canada accounted for more than one-quarter of the YTD dollar volume at just under $8.3 billion and more than one-third of the 645 foreign investments with 286 property acquisitions, according to RCA. The next best-represented country, Norway, came in at less than one-third that number of deals with 73 properties acquired and less than half of Canada's dollar volume at slightly less than $4 billion.
Among the nine most frequently represented nations—which also included Japan, Bermuda, Hong Kong, China, Singapore, Germany and the United Arab Emirates—US investment as a percentage of the global total varied. While nearly all of Japanese investors' YTD cross-border property investments occurred in the US, Singapore's tally of $1.74 billion was less than 10% of its YTD worldwide total of nearly $20 billion.
In the eight largest US markets that DTZ tracks, non-American investors were the biggest net buyers at $4 billion in the 12 months between mid-year '13 and mid-year '14, in a reversal of the trend seen last year. Despite being the most active, domestic investors became net sellers at $5 billion.
“Nearly half (47% or $9.2 billion) of non-North American investment came from internationally sourced capital, including some US-headquartered fund managers who raised capital in multiple jurisdictions,” says Ed Wlodarczyk, DTZ's head of capital markets, Americas. Twenty-seven percent of the capital targeting the main eight cities originated from Asia Pacific.
“China represented the biggest investor by source with close to $1.6 billion invested, reflecting a similar trend in Europe,” Wlodarczyk says. He notes that Chinese investors have been active in all eight of the market DTZ tracks: New York City, Los Angeles, Chicago, Houston, Dallas, San Francisco, Boston and Washington, DC. “European capital represented a further $3.3 billion of investment, with Norway acquiring office properties in Washington, DC and San Francisco.”
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