ST. LOUIS—The St. Louis region may have lagged behind the nation's core cities for a few years, but in 2013 it began to turn around and 2014 was a breakout year. The industrial sector in particular had a historic level of absorption and the vacancy rate hit a 10-year low, according to the latest market report by DTZ. And the firm predicts that real estate markets will continue growing in 2015.

“2014 was the strongest overall year we've experienced in the last five years,” says Dean Mueller, president of the central region, US. “In 2015, we will finally see speculative industrial construction come online, and will more than likely hear announcements on speculative office construction breaking ground.”

As reported last year in GlobeSt.com, the industrial market got off to a strong start in 2014. And the rest of the year was also quite vibrant. The market posted 1.35-million-square-feet of positive absorption in the fourth quarter alone, bringing the 2014 total to 5.3-million-square-feet – the highest annual absorption figure recorded for St. Louis, according to DTZ researchers.

Furthermore, the market absorbed 2.2% of the entire metro area inventory, decreasing the vacancy rate to 6.3%, the lowest since 2005 and a drop of 180 bps since 2013. Developers in the metro area have responded to the intense demand and currently have 2.3-million-square-feet under construction and another 120,000-square-feet set to break ground in the first quarter of 2015.

PCCP, LLC, a real estate finance and investment management firm, and TriStar, for example, last year formed a joint venture to acquire 45 acres of land for the speculative development of a 673,000-square-foot bulk warehouse building at the Gateway center in the Metro East area.

The office market also experienced a surge of large deals and netted 474,000-square-feet of positive absorption in the fourth quarter, bringing the year-end total to 680,000-square-feet, according to DTZ. The west suburban markets were particularly active. Asking rents for office space in Clayton, Creve Coeur and Chesterfield, for example, hit historic highs, and tenants have found it more difficult to rent large blocks of contiguous space.

Landlords of class A space have fared the best. It accounted for 65% of the total annual absorption and ended the 4th quarter with a vacancy rate of just 10% compared to class B's vacancy rate of 19.3%. And DTZ researchers feel new development could be on the way. “A lack of large contiguous blocks of space will continue to make build-to-suit options attractive for large tenants.”

Although much of the commercial activity in 2014 took place in the suburbs, this could change in 2015 after a public-private partnership completes its $380 million renovation of downtown's Gateway Arch. The project, called CityArchRiver 2015, will for the first time connect the CBD to the riverfront and the park surrounding the Arch with one continuous greenway.

For decades, office users and residents had been cut off from these amenities by a highway. And Peter G. Harwood, executive vice president of capital markets at JLL, told GlobeSt.com that once the project is done, “I think there is going to be a tremendous in-migration of people into the downtown.”

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Brian J. Rogal

Brian J. Rogal is a Chicago-based freelance writer with years of experience as an investigative reporter and editor, most notably at The Chicago Reporter, where he concentrated on housing issues. He also has written extensively on alternative energy and the payments card industry for national trade publications.