WALNUT CREEK, CA—“CRE practitioners frequently discuss the calculation and application of capitalization rates in making investments, however, there is not much posited on the discount rate used in CRE financial analysis.” That is according to Joseph Ori, executive managing director of Paramount Capital Corp., who discussed the subject in the exclusive commentary below. “As you recall, the capitalization rate is determined by two methods; the net operating income divided by property value or by a formula.”

The views expressed in this column below are the author's own.

The formula is the risk free rate plus a risk premium less a growth rate. The risk fee rate is US treasury securities, typically, the 10 Year T-Note, which is currently 2.25%. The CRE risk premium has typically been between 3% and 10% and for this analysis we will use 7%. The growth rate is the growth in a property's income and with a bustling CRE market, it is estimated at 3%.

Therefore, an average cap rate would be calculated today as follows: 2.25% + 7% - 3% = 6.25%. The cap rate is only applied to a one-year net operating income to determine value, because it already includes a growth rate, which in this example is 3%. The cap rate is also the inverse of the EBITDA multiple (enterprise value divided by EBITDA) and the price earnings ratio (stock price divided by the earning per share) used in corporate finance.

The discount rate is the rate used to discount to net present value a stream of CRE cash flows over some time period, usually five, seven or 10 years. The stream of cash flows can be either the net operating income, net operating income after tenant improvements, leasing commission and capital improvements or net cash flow to the equity investor.

The discount rate is determined from the first part of the cap rate formula as the risk free rate plus the risk premium and in the example above, would be 2.25% + 7% or 9.25%. The growth rate is not deducted as in the cap rate formula because the discount rate is applied to a series of cash flows and not a one year cash flow. The discount rate is then used to discount the yearly cash flows and the terminal value of the property, which is determined by applying the cap rate to the next year's cash flow. The discount rate will always be higher than the cap rate as long as income growth is positive.

Many public REITs use the above calculations to determine their cap rate and discount rate. However, since they are public companies with secured and unsecured debt, preferred stock and common stock, they can also determine a discount rate by calculating their weighted average cost of capital (WACC) as deliberated in corporate finance. The WACC is the weighted average cost of the REITs, long term debt plus preferred stock, if any, and common stock. The cost of debt is the yield on the debt times its weight in the capital structure and excludes the tax effect because REITs are not subject to income tax. The cost of preferred stock is the dividend divided by the price and the cost of common stock is determined by the capital asset pricing model (CAPM).

The CAPM is risk-free rate plus the stocks beta times the sum of the market return less the risk free rate. Most of the large-capitalization REITs have WACCs of 8%-11%.

Continue Reading for Free

Register and gain access to:

  • Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.

Natalie Dolce

Natalie Dolce, editor-in-chief of GlobeSt.com and GlobeSt. Real Estate Forum, is responsible for working with editorial staff, freelancers and senior management to help plan the overarching vision that encompasses GlobeSt.com, including short-term and long-term goals for the website, how content integrates through the company’s other product lines and the overall quality of content. Previously she served as national executive editor and editor of the West Coast region for GlobeSt.com and Real Estate Forum, and was responsible for coverage of news and information pertaining to that vital real estate region. Prior to moving out to the Southern California office, she was Northeast bureau chief, covering New York City for GlobeSt.com. Her background includes a stint at InStyle Magazine, and as managing editor with New York Press, an alternative weekly New York City paper. In her career, she has also covered a variety of beats for M magazine, Arthur Frommer's Budget Travel, FashionLedge.com, and Co-Ed magazine. Dolce has also freelanced for a number of publications, including MSNBC.com and Museums New York magazine.