CHICAGO—As reported in GlobeSt.com, Cornerstone Realty Advisers recently published its latest Global Listed Property Review, an examination of the latest global economic trends and how all this will impact the US. And Dave Wharmby, a managing director of Cornerstone, tells GlobeSt.com that, contrary to talk among some that the present US economic expansion could be in its latter stage, there is an argument that we're just beginning the real economic expansion.

"It feels like this is a longer game than we have had in the past," he adds. "It feels like there is much more runway this time." For the past few generations, economic output would resemble a hockey stick. "There was a slow build up and then it would accelerate." However, over the last six years or so that accelerator seems to have been missing, and the long, slow build up has gone on for an extended period. "We haven't yet gotten the productivity gains and the housing expansion that you would expect."

Wharmby believes there is a good chance the expansion will continue due to the secular demographic changes occurring all over the US. Most importantly, millennials are fueling an apartment boom by putting off home purchases. "All of that has driven demand for urban apartments and new rental communities." Furthermore, "the supply pipeline was shot down for about three years," leading to a huge amount of pent-up demand. Combined with the demographic shifts, he does not see this trend reversing in the next few years.

Continue Reading for Free

Register and gain access to:

  • Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.

Brian J. Rogal

Brian J. Rogal is a Chicago-based freelance writer with years of experience as an investigative reporter and editor, most notably at The Chicago Reporter, where he concentrated on housing issues. He also has written extensively on alternative energy and the payments card industry for national trade publications.