Those of you who have thought my concerns about black swans and potential negative future valuation were way over blown, should look carefully at the data now. It is not just the collapse of the equities markets, but also the junk bond market, factory orders, labor participation rate, retail sales, and the yield on the ten year. There is no good news in any of this. The rest of the world continues to deteriorate, and terrorism and war continue to ramp up across the planet. China has very serious issues of economics, demographics, and corruption, and a vast excess of unneeded industrial and residential capacity along with a huge debt burden. They are not going to be able to fix all those issues in just a few strokes, and maybe not for several years. China is not going to be the growth engine, nor the fount of investor capital of the world any longer. India is a hopeless mess of corruption and bureaucracy, and will also not be a driver of growth. Europe remains a problem in the banking sector, and with the flood of refugees, they will see a continuation of terror attacks, and sexual assault and crimes by these refugees who come from a Muslim culture alien to western values. Europe has a lot of major problems that are not being addressed because Merkel is almost as misdirected as Obama.

Now we have Iran being saved form economic collapse by Obama lifting sanctions, and handing them $150 billion, and access to European markets and the financial system of the world. Just when Iran was running out of money, running out of its ability to pour substantial funds into terror groups, and into supporting anti western groups, and when its infrastructure was seriously deteriorating, Obama bails them out to now be able to cause even more terror and disruption of the world order. This will go down in history as one of the stupidest, and most disastrous agreements and diplomatic moves in history. And now he has also bailed out Cuba just as they again allow Russia to reestablish intelligence and military assets on the island.

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Joel Ross

Joel Ross began his career in Wall St as an investment banker in 1965, handling corporate advisory matters for a variety of clients. During the seventies he was CEO of North American operations for a UK based conglomerate, and sat on the parent company board. In 1981, he began his own firm handling leveraged buyouts, investment banking and real estate financing. In 1984 Ross began providing investment banking services and arranging financing for real estate transactions with his own firm, Ross Properties, Inc. In 1993 Ross and a partner, Lexington Mortgage, created the first Wall St hotel CMBS program in conjunction with Nomura. They went on to develop a similar CMBS program for another major Wall St investment bank and for five leading hotel companies. Lexington, in partnership with Mr. Ross established a hotel mortgage bank table funded by an investment bank, and making all CMBS hotel loans on their behalf. In 1999 he formed Citadel Realty Advisors as a successor to Ross Properties Corp., focusing on real estate investment banking in the US, UK and Paris. He has closed over $3.0 billion of financings for office, hotel, retail, land and multifamily projects. Ross is also a founder of Market Street Investors, a brownfield land development company, and has been involved in the acquisition of notes on defaulted loans and various REO assets in conjunction with several major investors. Ross was an adjunct professor in the graduate program at the NYU Hotel School. He is a member of Urban Land Institute and was a member of the leadership of his ULI council. In 1999, he conceived and co-authored with PricewaterhouseCoopers, the Hotel Mortgage Performance Report, a major study of hotel mortgage default rates.