LOS ANGELES—Consumers aren't picking up the economic slack after—what economist Todd Buchholz, former White House senior economic advisor—calls the complete collapse of the energy and commodities industries. Buchholz spoke at the opening of ALIS yesterday in Downtown Los Angeles, saying that the economy is growing slowly and has not yet found a replacement economic driver.

"When the baton drops in a relay race, it makes a terrible sound. There is a relay race in the world economy, and the baton is being jostled," he said, explaining that when the energy industry, which formerly drove the economy, collapsed, experts believed that consumers would pick up the slack with their gas savings. However, that didn't happen because consumers have a long-term economic view, and need an adjustment period to recognize an increase in income. In 2015, economists predicted massive economic growth. Now at the end of the year, GDP growth has come in at or below 1%.

When consumers are spending money, they are buying durable goods, like cars, cell phones and housing. As consumers begin to realize that the have more money to spend, however, they will takeover the baton from energy—but Buchholz said that we should only expect them to trot with it not run.

His largest economic concerns were the massive long-term debt that the US has accumulated and education. "Intelligence prospers most," he said. "The world is in a race for IQ points." Looking at the world economy, he noted that the US and Mexico were the only strong trade centers and that the remainder of the world—even Canada now—is "practically in a recession." He ended by saying that the economy will continue to grow, but at a "slow limp."

Last year at the same conference, the economic speaker, John Silvia, said that in two years, we would be in a recession.

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Kelsi Maree Borland

Kelsi Maree Borland is a freelance journalist and magazine writer based in Los Angeles, California. For more than 5 years, she has extensively reported on the commercial real estate industry, covering major deals across all commercial asset classes, investment strategy and capital markets trends, market commentary, economic trends and new technologies disrupting and revolutionizing the industry. Her work appears daily on GlobeSt.com and regularly in Real Estate Forum Magazine. As a magazine writer, she covers lifestyle and travel trends. Her work has appeared in Angeleno, Los Angeles Magazine, Travel and Leisure and more.