joel-ross

What began as only a couple of us warning that the top was being reached, has now become a series of articles confirming that we are there. Hotels are already in a 10% value decline, and other property types are flat or about to be. As always it is all about the debt markets. Now that CMBS markets are grinding down to very limited capacity, and the Feds have put the squeeze on the banks to reduce leverage levels on commercial property loans, values have begun to flatten or decline as the returns due to lower or no leverage decline. It is always about the capital markets and currency markets.  If debt is limited and more expensive, and if offshore investors can’t buy things at a discount in their currency, then it is impossible to maintain high values.

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