Rent Growth Slowing Rent Growth Slowing
Nationally, monthly rent growth for apartment REITs have slowed to 4.1% year over year in March from 4.2% in February. That is according to the latest report from investment bank Cohen & Co. Analyst James Sullivan says that in addition, the trailing 12-month average dipped 8 bps to 4.79%. “The T12M average rent growth, has been slowing for market perform-rated AVB, CPT, EQR, and ESS since late last year and the trend continued in March,” according to the report. “Rent growth for UDR appears to be peaking on a T12M basis, with recent monthly results below the moving average.” The exceptions appear to be outperform-rated MORE and MAA, as well as Market Perform-rated PPS, where T12M rent growth has been stable-to-rising, says the report. “Although we have begun to observe deceleration in the Axiometrics results, we still expect accelerating rent growth from much of our coverage in 1Q and do not expect to see sector-wide moderation until the back half of the year.” According to the firm, notable transitions to deceleration on a T12M basis included: Boston, Dallas, Orlando, San Diego, and Silver Spring. “Northern California markets continued to moderate from high levels reached late last year. Los Angeles and Seattle appear to be plateauing.” Rent growth in the NYC metro area slowed to 3% on a T12M basis in March, from 4% in 4Q15, the firm says. And DC continues to improve after turning positive in late 2014/early 2015.

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