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US Industrial Market Headed for Another Record Year

CHICAGO—The wave of store closures is likely to continue, but this will fuel yet more growth in the distribution sector.

By Brian J. Rogal | brianjrogal | Updated on January 24, 2017

kc-bnsf (2) BNSF’s Logistics Park Kansas City; Amazon recently agreed to occupy a new 822K speculative building here.

CHICAGO—The US industrial markets just had another historic year, with record-setting levels of absorption and vacancy, and experts say these good times should last at least through the end of 2017. Tenants absorbed 63.6 million square feet of space in the final quarter of 2016, which propelled net absorption for the year to 282.9 million square feet, according to a new year-end report from Cushman & Wakefield. The national vacancy rate for all product types continued to decline in the fourth quarter, falling 30 bps from the prior quarter and 100 bps from the prior year to 5.5%.

As of January 2017, the industrial sector has registered 27 consecutive quarters of net occupancy gains, placing this expansion among the longest ever. It is also among the strongest, with 825.5 million square feet of net absorption for the past three years, far surpassing the 726.8 million square feet absorbed from 1997 to 1999, the strongest period of occupancy growth in the prior cycle.

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