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Continued Low Inflation and Rates

Inflation seems to be mystifying the Fed and economists, but in my view it is because this is one of the rare times that the entire paradigm has changed.…

By Joel Ross | joelross | Updated on September 05, 2017

Joel Ross

Inflation seems to be mystifying the Fed and economists, but in my view it is because this is one of the rare times that the entire paradigm has changed. As a result of several things, inflation may not rise much again for many years despite the labor shortage now being experienced by many employers. Here is why and what changed.

Logistics are now completely different and far more efficient and faster than ever. With the opening of the new Panama Canal, super-sized container ships can now land at East Coast ports, including New York and avoid the costs of unloading in Los Angeles, reloading on trucks or trains and shipping across the country. As a result of far better software and AI, containers are now preloaded as they will be needed for unloading, so the goods are in order in the container in the order the importer will be moving them to trucks, or the way the end user, like a Walmart, needs it to be stacked. Huge savings in labor and no need to breakdown and resort.

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