Building exterior in Lower Manhattan

NEW YORK CITY—With the so-called “wall of maturities” for legacy CMBS gradually crumbling, the year-to-date payoff rate for 2017 has stabilized at around 70.5%, S&P Global Ratings said Wednesday. Shorter loan terms in recent vintages indicate a steady volume of maturities over the next several years, averaging about $40 billion annually, according to S&P.

The ratings agency's most recent CMBS maturity tracker shows that September actually saw a lower starting payoff rate compared to the three preceding months. The lower rate was on account of a significantly larger percentage of loans—12.5%—securing maturity date extensions during the month. In comparison, June, July, and August saw extensions for 2.3%, 7.9% and 7.6% of the total monthly maturities, respectively.

About $10 billion in loans remains outstanding to mature in fourth-quarter 2017, of which $2.3 billion matures in October, $5 billion matures in November and the remaining $2.7 million matures in December. By property type, the outstanding loans include $4 billion for retail, $2.4 billion for office, $2 billion for lodging and $1 billion for multifamily. The next maturity wall peak will be in 2023, when over $70 billion in loans are slated to mature.

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Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny is managing editor of Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com. He has been reporting on business since 1988 and on commercial real estate since 2007. He is based at ALM Real Estate Media Group's offices in New York City.

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