Ten-X's Peter Muoio

IRVINE, CA—Commercial property pricing slipped by 0.2% in October, marking the sixth month in a row of declining values, Ten-X said Thursday afternoon. At just 3.1%, year-over-year growth in pricing across commercial real estate sectors is now the weakest since Ten-X instituted its monthly Commercial Real Estate Nowcast.

“With a sixth consecutive month of decline, the market's malaise can safely be described as a legitimate trend,” says Peter Muoio, chief economist with Ten-X. “The Ten-X CRE Nowcast's annual growth rate has again reached its lowest level since we conceived the index, falling well below the 3.4% annual growth recorded last month, which was the previous low.”

An increasing gap between buyer and seller expectations is a key factor in the slowing growth. Ten-X's recent report on the subject, “Mind the Gap,” cites a number of “crosscurrents” leading to this mismatch of expectations, ranging from upward adjustment of estimates for future exit cap rates to factors that are fueling increasing construction costs. The gap, Muoio says, “only exacerbates the slump brought on by investor concern over the age of the business cycle, impending interest rate hikes and slipping fundamentals.”

Continue Reading for Free

Register and gain access to:

  • Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.

Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny is managing editor of Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com. He has been reporting on business since 1988 and on commercial real estate since 2007. He is based at ALM Real Estate Media Group's offices in New York City.