Jeff Rinkov

This year may see flattening rents—or at least tenant affordability issues—in several asset classes. Significant rent growth in nearly all asset classes has been a theme of the last several years, but the extreme pricing may be hitting a ceiling for some tenants, according to Jeff Rinkov, CEO and president of Lee & Associates. While his outlook remains positive this year and for the foreseeable future, he says that plateauing rents may be around the corner.

“We have seen really substantial rent growth, and I think that we are going to reach a ceiling in certain product types on tenant affordability,” Rinkov tells GlobeSt.com. “In the next 18 to 36 months, rent growth may be more subdued as a result.”

In California, some corporate tenants have already left the state to look for more affordable office markets as well as a more affordable cost of living for employees. Despite the exits, there is still plenty of activity from a diverse group of employers. “It seems like California has done everything that it can to make it difficult to operate here, between operations and state and local taxes,” says Rinkov. “You have to drill down and look at where the economy comes from. We have tremendous technology opportunities; we've got huge port activity; we have tremendous diversity of industries. I don't see any of it going away.”

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Kelsi Maree Borland

Kelsi Maree Borland is a freelance journalist and magazine writer based in Los Angeles, California. For more than 5 years, she has extensively reported on the commercial real estate industry, covering major deals across all commercial asset classes, investment strategy and capital markets trends, market commentary, economic trends and new technologies disrupting and revolutionizing the industry. Her work appears daily on GlobeSt.com and regularly in Real Estate Forum Magazine. As a magazine writer, she covers lifestyle and travel trends. Her work has appeared in Angeleno, Los Angeles Magazine, Travel and Leisure and more.