Chris Muoio

IRVINE, CA—Plateauing hotel occupancy, coupled with the outlook of rising supply in many markets, has dampened revenue and returns expectations, causing pricing in this sector to stagnate, Ten-X's senior quantitative strategist Chris Muoio tells GlobeSt.com. As we recently reported, according to the firm's December 2017 Hotel Nowcast, hotels also saw a pricing increase in December, and although in contrast to the steady gains made by retail, lodging values have seen their monthly ups and downs. For December, the Hotel Nowcast was up 0.8% and is now up 2% Y-O-Y in its strongest reading since last May.

Ten-X reports that improving consumer and business travel indicators, a weaker dollar—which makes US travel cheaper for foreigners—and improved economic conditions abroad, have all helped hotel pricing to plateau following acute weakness. That said, the threat of increased development means pricing is threading a course through conflicting supply-demand signals.

We spoke with Muoio about the factors influencing fluctuating hotel pricing and how he sees them playing out.

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Carrie Rossenfeld

Carrie Rossenfeld is a reporter for the San Diego and Orange County markets on GlobeSt.com and a contributor to Real Estate Forum. She was a trade-magazine and newsletter editor in New York City before moving to Southern California to become a freelance writer and editor for magazines, books and websites. Rossenfeld has written extensively on topics including commercial real estate, running a medical practice, intellectual-property licensing and giftware. She has edited books about profiting from real estate and has ghostwritten a book about starting a home-based business.