Menlo Creek, a class A apartment community, has traded hands.

ATLANTA—What's the supply and demand outlook in the multifamily sector? What trends will impact the industry in the year ahead? GlobeSt.com caught up with Doug Bibby, president of the National Multifamily Housing Council, to get his insights in this exclusive interview.

1. Supply and Demand Outlook

Bibby says the long-term outlook for multifamily still looks very good. Strong demand for apartment living stretches out until at least 2030.

“Research shows that the industry will need to build 4.6 million new apartments between now and then to meet that demand,” he says. “That's an average of 328,000 new apartments annually—a pace well about the 225,000 completions a year the industry has averaged over the past five years. While completions picked up in 2017, contributing to some rent growth moderation, starts also slipped, suggesting that the balance between demand and new supply will be something to continue to watch in the year ahead.”

2. New Capital and Investment Sources
Given the strong demand fundamentals, Bibby expects both traditional and new capital sources to continue to look with interest at investment opportunities under the multifamily umbrella. However, he says, between the rising costs of land, development and construction and a lot of new product on the market, finding the right multifamily acquisition or development opportunity to fit specific risk and return thresholds may remain difficult.

“Tech investors are increasingly looking at the commercial real estate space,” Bibby says. “Three years ago, there was $459 million in private equity and venture capital funding dedicated to real estate technology, at year-end 2016 there was $2.7 billion. We expect some of this influx to benefit the multifamily sector, advancing operations and performance through all types of tech, including artificial intelligence, smart home technology and more.”

3. Sharing Economy Growing

With the growth of the sharing economy, Bibby says collaboration and community are joining convenience as a core value in development. As he sees it, this shift is chipping away at the divide between public and private space.

“This is requiring apartment communities to begin to rethink community design, programming and integration with the community at large,” Bibby says. “Ride and car-sharing, co-working and home-sharing are all set to leave bigger marks on multifamily development in the years ahead.”

Want to continue reading?
Become a Free ALM Digital Reader.

Once you are an ALM Digital Member, you’ll receive:

  • Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.