Retail investment volume may have been soft at the start of 2018, but Matt LoPiccolo, who recently joined CBRE as first VP, says that activity is picking for a strong close to the year. Of course, as retail has changed, investors are focusing on a specific class of retail assets. Today, the old real estate adage favoring location is truer than ever, but LoPiccolo is also guiding his clients to focus not only on the location but on the fundamentals of an asset to mitigate against store closures or a potential downturn. We sat down with LoPiccolo for an exclusive interview to talk about his strategy for retail investment and how he is advising his clients.
GlobeSt.com: What are retail investors looking for in investment opportunities today?
Matt LoPiccolo: The investment assets with the best attributes are in core markets and tight locations, whether that is a high street profile or an asset that has a value-add component. Overall, transaction volume is a little down from this time last year; however, demand is still there. It has been more of a function of pricing and expectations of where interest rates are going to be. I still the demand having a heavy appetite for San Diego market on deals that are core with a high street component. Vertical enhancements with mixed-use seems to be the rage as well as assets with strong fundamentals.
GlobeSt.com: So, location really has become the focus for retail investment?
LoPiccolo: I know it sounds basic, but asset fundamentals are key elements to an acquisition. That includes location, positioning, tenant mix or the use. Right now, on the opposite side, it doesn't mean that the B- and C-class assets aren't in demand, it just means that there is a wider gap in terms of pricing between those two categories of assets.
GlobeSt.com: Retail is clearly evolving rapidly, and this year there have been a few store closures. How are you advising investment clients to adjust their strategies in response to these changes and to mitigate risk?
LoPiccolo: Very simple. We are focused on fundamentals: Where is this asset positioned in the market? Is this asset serve a need? If the tenants leave, are the rents above or below market? You basically scale back, and that starts from the location itself, from the zoning to lot size. Because mixed-use has been all of the rage in the last couple years, we are also now looking at elements like up-zoning to see if there is a benefit. There are fundamental elements that have been key to my acquisition guidance with clients, especially in this market where you do see concerns with tenants and current use of shopping centers. It is all based on the real estate.
GlobeSt.com: What is your outlook for retail investment sales activity this year?
LoPiccolo: I think that supply will pick up for the second half of the year, and I think that sellers will have a little bit better understanding of the market and pricing expectations. Demand has been there this year, but I feel the outlook for the end of the year will be more of an uptick compared to what we have seen in the first half, especially with the understanding that rates are going to rise. The tax plan has settled, and investors now have a broader understanding of expectations in the investment arena. So, I think that San Diego has been a very desirable market and I think demand will continue to be there.
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