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Last year, industrial stocks produced a 48.71% total return outgaining the broader REIT universe, which gained 28.1%, according to the FTSE Nareit All REITs Index.

"2019 was a stellar year for industrial," says Omar Eltorai, a CRE Market Analyst at Reonomy. "Industrial has been performing phenomenally for the most recent past."

The broad economic expansion, the availability of cheap financing and the rise of e-commerce and Internet fulfillment centers are among the factors that have made industrial a hot segment of commercial real estate, according to Eltorai.

"I would call it a secular shift in consumer behavior," Eltorai says. "But I think it's twofold. It's e-commerce and Internet fulfillment centers rising, but then also the ongoing de-leveraging and the footprint reductions of retailers."

Industrial's strength has also shown up in transaction volume. The sector saw transaction activity increase 14% in 2019, according to Real Capital Analytics (RCA). While large portfolio acquisitions by Blackstone and BREIT made news, the sale of individual assets rose 13% from 2018.

As volume increased, prices for industrial assets rose. The sector delivered 12.1% year-over-year price increases, which made it the only segment providing double-digit price growth in 2019, according to the RCA CPPI.

"Industrial has been performing phenomenally in the recent past," Eltorai says. "The number of times it is brought up in an exciting context [in news articles] in the last couple years has been staggering." But Eltorai wonders if investors can expect those types of returns moving forward.

"I'm not calling for a reversal," Eltorai says. "I don't think industrial will get clobbered. But I think it will be very difficult to sustain the momentum that it has built up in 2020."

There were worries that momentum may fade last year, but interest rate cuts and a trade deal assuaged those concerns.

"People changed their tune and outlooks were revised," Eltorai says. "There seems to be a lot more certainty for at least the first half of 2020. We're going into 2020 on an uptick."

But that doesn't mean 2020 will be smooth sailing for the industrial space. "Spirits are high, but it's also an election year," Eltorai says. "I think a lot of the fears or anxieties or just questions that we were asking in early October and September of last year will surface again in mid-year. It's that uncertainty that will put a damper on industrial performance."

Even if there are hiccups, Eltorai doesn't expect industrial to reverse and become one of the least favored segments of CRE.

"The floor was very high for industrial," he says. "It has a lot of attention, and it still has some tailwinds. But to meet those expectations, it would need to see an additional motivator."

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Leslie Shaver

Les Shaver has been covering commercial and residential real estate for almost 20 years. His work has appeared in Multifamily Executive, Builder, units, Arlington Magazine in addition to GlobeSt.com and Real Estate Forum.