Everyone expects a rocky ride for the US economy for the first half of 2021 as the vaccine is distributed and policymakers weigh steps to boost the economy. But, at least according to one account, the recovery will unfold in a series of stages. 

John Leer, writing for Morning Consult, says the economy will experience four distinct phases in the year ahead. From January to April, the second coronavirus relief package's initial spending will create a stimulus high as unemployment insurance and stimulus checks offset the virus's negative economic consequences, according to Leer. .

"Consumers across the income spectrum will grow more confident in the economy once the money hits their accounts, driving increases in consumer spending and employment through the middle of April," Leer writes.

Want to continue reading?
Become a Free ALM Digital Reader.

Once you are an ALM Digital Member, you’ll receive:

  • Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.

Leslie Shaver

Les Shaver has been covering commercial and residential real estate for almost 20 years. His work has appeared in Multifamily Executive, Builder, units, Arlington Magazine in addition to GlobeSt.com and Real Estate Forum.