In January, US commercial real estate price growth hit levels not seen since before COVID-19, according to the latest Real Capital Analytics CPPI: US summary report.

Overall, the US National All-Property Index rose 6.9% from a year ago and 1.2% from December.

While prices continued to accelerate in January, deal volume slumped after a record-breaking December 2020.

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While there are still questions about how much of the workforce returns, office prices rebounded 3.3% year-over-year in January. Suburban offices drove those gains. Last August, office prices were posting no annual growth.

Industrial, which has been the hottest sector through the pandemic, posted 8.3% annual growth, giving it the top spot among all the property types. Industrial prices are slightly below what it posted in 2019.

Gains in multifamily stayed near the 7% they have been hovering near over the last several months, hitting 6.8% in January. They are well below the highs posted in 2018.

The struggling retail sector again saw price growth fall 1.8% year over year. Retail trailed the other sectors before the pandemic, posted less than 5% growth. 

Overall, US commercial real estate transaction volume was down 58% in January, according to RCA. In December, transaction volumes increased 8% year-over-year. January experienced similar declines to the second and third quarters of 2020, which directly followed the onset of the pandemic.

Transaction volumes in January fell across property types at double-digit rates, except for senior housing. This was a pivot from December transactions when apartment and industrial sales took off, driving most activity. Even office properties had a good month with the highest transaction volumes since 2019. It should be noted that it is typical to see an end-of-year rush and RCA adds that the activity was likely compounded by investors closing delayed deals from earlier in the year.

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Leslie Shaver

Les Shaver has been covering commercial and residential real estate for almost 20 years. His work has appeared in Multifamily Executive, Builder, units, Arlington Magazine in addition to GlobeSt.com and Real Estate Forum.