The economy may not go zero to 60 in the first quarter, but good news is on the horizon: according to a recovery timeline created by Cushman & Wakefield, it will gradually build up strength over the course of the year to what is expected to be a robust recovery.
But first, the bad: we're a few days into March and it's clear that COVID-19 pandemic will continue to wreak serious damage to a variety of sectors in the first quarter, as new variants drag down confidence. And while a new aid package is on the way, Cushman economists predict the virus will continue to constrain sales activity in most parts of the world.
Once we hit Q2, restrictions will continue to loosen and the pace of vaccinations will pick up, quickening the recovery. Cushman predicts global real GDP will push toward 5% growth, and that occupiers will become "more active"—though thanks to WFH and travel limitations, leasing will improve more modestly. C&W experts also predict that investor activity will pick up, which will reset pricing and lure sellers to the market.
Want to continue reading?
Become a Free ALM Digital Reader.
Once you are an ALM Digital Member, you’ll receive:
- Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
- Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
- Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
Already have an account? Sign In Now
*May exclude premium content© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.