Commercial real estate developers are starting to see a glass half full. The Allen Matkins/UCLA Anderson Forecast California CRE Survey, which asks a developers to forecast the market in three years, reports improved optimism across asset classes. While industrial and multifamily continue to lead developer sentiment, the outlook for office and retail improved compared to the previous survey. The report includes San Francisco, East Bay, Silicon Valley, Sacramento, Los Angeles, Orange County, San Diego and the Inland Empire.

Office optimism was the highlight of the report. Developers had a positive outlook on nearly every California market included in the survey With only Sacramento falling into the pessimistic range—meaning fewer than half of the participating developers were optimistic about the market in three years—and the Inland Empire sentiment fell at the breakeven point, with half of developers offering a positive outlook and half offering a negative outlook. It is a sharp contrast to the previous survey when developer outlook was pessimistic in every market.

Retail sentiment also improved, although not to the same extent as the office sector. Developers were most optimistic about Northern California with positive sentiment in every market except Sacramento. In Southern California, developers had a positive outlook for Orange County and San Diego, while the Inland Empire was at the break-even point. Los Angeles, on the other had, fell short, with only about 45% of developers offering a positive outlook on the market.

Want to continue reading?
Become a Free ALM Digital Reader.

Once you are an ALM Digital Member, you’ll receive:

  • Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.

Kelsi Maree Borland

Kelsi Maree Borland is a freelance journalist and magazine writer based in Los Angeles, California. For more than 5 years, she has extensively reported on the commercial real estate industry, covering major deals across all commercial asset classes, investment strategy and capital markets trends, market commentary, economic trends and new technologies disrupting and revolutionizing the industry. Her work appears daily on GlobeSt.com and regularly in Real Estate Forum Magazine. As a magazine writer, she covers lifestyle and travel trends. Her work has appeared in Angeleno, Los Angeles Magazine, Travel and Leisure and more.