The I-word, inflation, is bad enough. But then there's the R-word: recession. And some forecasters see the potential coming forward, according to the latest CNBC Fed Survey. Not that it's a given, but the trifecta of inflation, more hawkish Fed monetary policy, and issues coming out of Russia's invasion of Ukraine have increased the bet to a 33% chance of one in the next 12 months.
That may be what a new CBRE survey picked up on. Distributed to "approximately 500 of healthcare real estate's most influential healthcare real estate trusts (REITs), institutional healthcare investors, private capital investors, and developers throughout the United States" and responses coming from about a fifth of them, 85% believed that the healthcare real estate industry is "recession resistant." The expectation is probably based on recognition that healthcare is not generally considered a
"Survey results suggest a very significant increase in capital allocated to healthcare real estate for 2022," the report said. "In 2021, the total capital allocation provided by respondents in our survey was $10.9 billion, while actual transaction volume for 2021 ended at nearly $16 billion. This year, the total capital allocation from those unique firms who provided a figure (65 out of 86 firms) totaled $17.1 billion, which represents a 57% increase compared to 2021."
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