With interest rates still rising, prices retreating and credit evaporating—and a stressed-out banking system moving to shore up balance sheets—expect more fire sales of older CMBS loans and an acceleration of plunging CRE values in markets across the US.

Last month, a fire sale of CMBS loans was lit as $72B in assets from the failed Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) were sold. The SVB assets—including about $13B in real estate exposure and at least $2.6B worth of CRE loans—were sold at a discount of $16.5B, which translates into about 77 cents on the dollar, according to a report in MarketWatch.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. has lit a fuse on an even larger fire sale of assets—a bonfire in terms of CRE loans—for NYC-based Signature Bank, which like SVB was a regional bank that collapsed and was taken over by regulators last month.

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