Green Street's latest commercial property outlook, by Co-Head of Strategic Research Peter Rothemund and Analyst Alex Boyle, noted that property prices are now down by 15% from their heights in March 2022. Also, that further declines aren't over.

The one warm note is cold storage, and it's probably more accurate to call that lukewarm as it has been flat since March 2022. From there on, everything is down. For some property types it's a slight dip: gaming (-2%), lodging (-3%), tower (-7%), single-family rental (-9%), and industrial (-10%). The biggest five losers are ground lease (-29%), office (-27%), apartment (-21%), mall (-18%), and net lease (-16%). In the middle are self-storage (-14%), healthcare (-13%), data center (-13%), manufactured home (-12%), and life science (-11%).

Something to remember is that these changes are off unusually high values, so whether to be seen as a pure loss or a return to more historically realistic levels isn't clear.

Want to continue reading?
Become a Free ALM Digital Reader.

Once you are an ALM Digital Member, you’ll receive:

  • Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.