Anticipating where interest rates are headed seems as difficult as almost any intellectual undertaking that one could mention.

Integra Realty Resources took a stab at looking ahead to an answer in a new commercial real estate trends report because interest rates are a lynchpin to how anything in the commercial real estate industry works.

First, the yield curve — yields on shorter-term Treasuries compared to longer-term ones — inverted in 2022. Short-term yields were higher than long terms. This has historically been a reliable indicator of upcoming recessions.

Want to continue reading?
Become a Free ALM Digital Reader.

Once you are an ALM Digital Member, you’ll receive:

  • Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.

National
Capital Markets
Economy
Southwest