When do you know that a CRE market in a slump has hit bottom? Here's the answer you get from Steven Jason, managing principal of EOS Real Estate and Financial Advisory: "The simple answer is nobody knows, and you don't know until you're past it and can see it in hindsight," he tells GlobeSt.com.
In that sense it's like a recession, something only recognized after the fact. But there are indicators that, if not at bottom, maybe markets that have been sliding for a long time are at least getting close.
Over on LinkedIn, Jason put together a list of some practical indicators, including BlackRock Real Estate Research's statement that now is the time to invest in CRE; SL Green Realty's announcement of a $1 billion opportunity debt vehicle targeting New York City; RXR and Ares Management's formation of a $1 billion fund to buy distressed office assets in New York City; Ethan Penner and Chad Carpenter's newly-launched REIT that is raising $1 billion to fund debt solutions for office owners and investors; a new Goldman Sachs $2.6 billion fund for CRE lending; and MSCI estimating the existence of $85.8 billion in existing property-level distress.
Want to continue reading?
Become a Free ALM Digital Reader.
Once you are an ALM Digital Member, you’ll receive:
- Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
- Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
- Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
Already have an account? Sign In Now
*May exclude premium content© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.