A drumbeat for stagflation as a possible scenario for the US economy is growing louder.
Last week, strategists from the Bank of America wrote that the macroeconomic picture is "flipping from goldilocks to stagflation," which they defined as growth below 2% and inflation of between 3% and 4%. Inflation is higher in developed and emerging markets, while the US labor market is "finally cracking," wrote Michael Hartnett.
JPMorgan Chase's Marko Kolanovic raised similar concerns in February. A halt in inflation's downward trend, or price pressures broadly resurfacing "wouldn't be a surprise" given outsized gains in equities, tight labor markets and high immigration and government spending, he said, according to Bloomberg.
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