These Were the Major Hotel Sales in Q2

Growth was fueled by corporate transient, group, and inbound foreign travel.

Despite the Federal Reserve’s aggressive monetary policy aimed at controlling persistent inflation, during the first half of 2024, the U.S. economy continued to demonstrate resilience. While strong growth in many subcategories of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) including consumer and government spending, investment, exports, and employment has many optimistic, the economic outlook is tempered by global geopolitical risks including ongoing wars in Europe and the Middle East. Although the U.S. economic outlook remains positive, signs of a softening consumer are mounting within lower-to-middle-income households. And while recession concerns remain, heightened anxiety that the U.S. will experience two consecutive quarters of negative GDP has significantly diminished. Furthermore, an uncertain U.S. presidential election appears to be leading consumers and businesses to curtail spending for the balance of the year.

Through Q2 2024, the U.S. lodging industry is operationally sound, with growth being fueled by corporate transient, group, and inbound foreign travel, while domestic leisure demand continues to wane as Americans continue returning to travel overseas. Group trends remain solid, helping generate a base level of demand that further supports pricing power for hotel operators. While strong and with building momentum, foreign inbound travel to the U.S. remains below pre-pandemic levels. It is interesting to note that since 2000, U.S. presidential election years have seen Real GDP growth decline by 110 bps on average versus the prior year. In each of the past four U.S. presidential election years, both demand growth and RevPAR growth slowed from the prior year. Elevated development costs coupled with restricted availability of construction financing which if obtainable is expensive and continues to diminish the feasibility of new hotel supply, a phenomenon which is anticipated to continue during the foreseeable future. Finally, hotels in several lodging markets including New York City are benefiting from restrictions that have been imposed on short-term rentals, effectively reducing such competition.

Publicly traded hotel companies are leveraging their platforms and loyalty programs to fuel growth, as evidenced by several recently announced acquisitions and/or strategic alliances/partnerships.  Examples include:

The LWHA Q2 2024 Major U.S. Hotel Sales Survey includes 90 single asset sale transactions over $10 million, which totaled just over $4 billion and included approximately 14,350 hotel rooms with an average sale price per room of $279,000.

Although the lodging sector is experiencing strong fundamentals, compared to recent history, the cost of debt remains relatively high, which continues to dampen sale transaction activity. With this said, bid/ask spreads appear to be easing, resulting in some “wind in the sails” of hotel sale investment volume. Additional noteworthy Q1 2024 observations include:

Buyer: Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (NASDAQ: HST), Seller: Blackstone.

Reportedly, the trade includes a 49-acre parcel entitled for development.

Buyer: Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (NASDAQ: HST), Seller: JV Starwood Capital Group & Crescent Real Estate LLC & High Street Real Estate Partners.

Buyer: Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. (NYSE: SHO), Seller: Hyatt Hotels Corporation (NYSE: H).

Buyer: EOS Hospitality, Seller: Wythe Berry Fee Owner

Reportedly, the property includes 40K SF of office and retail space.

Buyer: JRK Property Holdings, Seller: Braemar Hotels & Resorts (NYSE: BHR).

Buyer: Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (NASDAQ: HST), Seller: Blackstone

Reportedly, the sale includes a 49-acre parcel entitled for development

Buyer: EOS Hospitality, Seller: Wythe Berry Fee Owner

Reportedly, the property includes 40K SF of office and retail space.

Buyer: Azora Exan, Seller: Premier Equities

Reportedly, the hotel is operated by Sonder under a lease and retail space is occupied by three tenants.

Buyer: Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (NASDAQ: HST), Seller: JV Starwood Capital Group & Crescent Real Estate LLC & High Street Real Estate Partners

Buyer: Continuum Development, Seller: Jesta Group

Reportedly, the hotel and adjacent Shuckers Waterfront Bar & Grill will remain operational until the buyer completes assemblage and completes redevelopment plans to include luxury condominiums and a hotel.

Buyer: JV Trinity Investments & Partners Group, Seller: JV Rockpoint & Highgate

Buyer: Blackstone, Seller: Related Companies

Institutional investment platforms, several of whom are lodging-centric, transacted during Q2 2024.

Copious amounts of debt remain available for the sector as evidenced by numerous recently announced high-profile acquisition financings and property refinancings, including:

The much-anticipated wave of debt maturities has slowly commenced, with many capital-starved hotels under brand pressure to now execute pandemic deferred Property Improvement Plans (PIPs).  Property owners that utilized Reserve for Replacement funds to service debt during the past four years are now faced with refinancing in an elevated interest rate environment. Many will elect to dispose of assets, while others will “hand keys” to their lender(s). Creditors are in the business of obtaining market returns on debt financing, not owning commercial real estate, which in turn will result in increased hotel sale transaction activity.  This phenomenon may be lessened if the Federal Reserve lowers borrowing rates which would ease refinancing efforts of existing sponsors. Additionally, a narrowing of credit spreads in Single-Asset Single-Borrower Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (SASB CMBS) has positioned such financing as favorable for large institutional lodging assets with a history of strong performance and cash flow.

Compared to other asset classes, hotels present very attractive investment opportunities. High-quality assets with strong in-place performance are trading at aggressive cap rates driven in part by ample equity earmarked to the lodging sector. In addition to forthcoming debt maturities, equity fund life expirations will drive increased hotel sales activity. Sale pricing of U.S. hotels is anticipated to remain robust for top-tier properties with in-place cash flow while reduced valuation opportunities may only be available for complex and/or less desirable assets.

Daniel H. Lesser is Co-Founder, President & CEO of LW Hospitality Advisors LLC