There's evidence of some reversal in a pattern of property sales based on size from the middle of 2023.
Similar to the value-weighted and equal-weighted, smaller properties did better in the long run. Investment grade was down 3.4% over the 12 months while the commercial grade was up 6.2%. There is no explanation or speculation on why smaller properties have been doing better. Perhaps it was a result of rising interest rates and price differentials. When financing is more expensive, a less costly property might make a project viable.
In a new Real Estate Alert, Green Street wrote that in the first half of 2024, small property sales growth didn't hold up as well as large institutional offerings. From January to June, properties in the $5 million to $25 million range fell 10.7% from $44.32 billion in the first half of 2023 to $39.58 billion in the first half of this year, according to the firm's sales comps database.
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