Even before the Fed yesterday made its keenly awaited announcement that it would trim interest rates by 0.5%, home builders appeared to be slightly more optimistic about the market for single-family homes, a September survey by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) revealed. But they still worry about rising costs.

Optimism was based on a modest drop in the yield on Treasury notes that caused mortgage rates to dip earlier in August and the first part of September, the NAHB said. The survey gauges builders' perceptions of current single-family home sales and sales expectations as good, fair, or poor. A seasonally adjusted Housing Market Index (HMI) is calculated from these scores, where a number over 50 indicates a positive outlook, and below that threshold indicates a poor outlook.

The seasonally adjusted HMI rose in September from 39 in August to 41 – still below both the benchmark rate and the scores reached in the months before August. The HMI for current single-family sales rose from 44 to 45 –again below previous levels this year. There was a more positive view of the next six months, however, with the benchmark rising from 49 to 53, but still lower than its levels in the spring. There was also a modest improvement in opinions about traffic from prospective buyers; the score rose from 25 to 27.

Continue Reading for Free

Register and gain access to:

  • Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.